Condor Research Group

CRG-EUR-INT-0925/4: European Strategic Preparedness Deficit

𝗖𝗥𝗚-𝗘𝗨𝗥-𝗜𝗡𝗧-𝟬𝟵𝟮𝟱/𝟰

𝗦𝘂𝗯𝗷𝗲𝗰𝘁: Audit Source — Paolo Treu: European Strategic Preparedness Deficit
𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗲: 10 Sept 2025
𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗯𝘆: Condor Research Group (CRG)

𝗔𝘂𝗱𝗶𝘁 𝗦𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗰𝗲𝗣𝗮𝗼𝗹𝗼 𝗧𝗿𝗲𝘂 (𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗲𝗿 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿-𝗶𝗻-𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗲𝗳, 𝗜𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗡𝗮𝘃𝘆 𝗙𝗹𝗲𝗲𝘁)
𝗣𝘂𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁, 𝟭𝟬 𝗦𝗲𝗽𝘁 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱
https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7371575756050817024/

𝗘𝘅𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘁: “If we truly feared a Russian aggression, Europe should already be hard at work… yet we see no concrete signs of it. Much more would be needed, including EU federal reform, civil service reactivation, hardened infrastructure, energy redundancy, and population resilience. None of this is happening.”

𝗦𝘂𝗺𝗺𝗮𝗿𝘆:
Paolo Treu identifies the absence of genuine war-preparedness measures within the EU and NATO bloc. His audit distinguishes between rhetorical threat inflation and authentic existential mobilization. By cataloguing missing measures (federalization, civil service, hardened infrastructure), he provides a benchmark for assessing the sincerity of European threat perception.

𝗔𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁:
- 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗶𝘁𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗪𝗲𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁: As a former flag officer, Treu’s voice carries insider credibility. His critique cannot be dismissed as freelance chatter.
- 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗰 𝗚𝗮𝗽 𝗜𝗱𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗳𝗶𝗲𝗱: The absence of structural mobilization shows Europe does not anticipate direct war with Russia, despite public rhetoric.
- 𝗡𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗼𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗲: The “Russian threat” is being leveraged as a compliance mechanism, sustaining procurement, industrial cycles, and Atlantic alignment, while detached from existential defense doctrine.
- 𝗖𝗥𝗚 𝗟𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗴𝗲: Treu’s audit serves as a co-optable credibility spine. Referencing his critique validates CRG theses on performative militarization and post-sovereign preparedness gaps.

𝗗𝗶𝗿𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲:
Deploy Treu’s audit as an evidentiary anchor in European security assessments. Highlight the divergence between rhetorical projection and absent structural mobilization. Use this contrast to expose reliance on narrative coercion rather than genuine defense posture.

𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗴𝗶𝗻 𝗡𝗼𝘁𝗲:
𝘞𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘧𝘺 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘤𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘣𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦, 𝘥𝘦𝘯𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰 𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘨𝘦𝘳 𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦.”